Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 1.625221 1.855514 2.108320 2.406681 2.749517 3.131518 3.589991
2025-09-07 1.339828 1.652496 2.024192 2.499667 3.093284 3.811962 4.751145
2025-09-14 1.118381 1.471806 1.921121 2.536559 3.361353 4.433779 5.942530
2025-09-21 0.935880 1.302247 1.795753 2.513023 3.535589 4.951042 7.076422
2025-09-28 0.777532 1.135629 1.642928 2.419570 3.588703 5.299173 8.020863
2025-10-05 0.710747 1.085449 1.641538 2.534903 3.949670 6.129553 9.792638
2025-10-12 0.656556 1.044202 1.644401 2.652113 4.324060 7.026352 11.802993
2025-10-19 0.599254 0.988826 1.615713 2.711507 4.608931 7.813595 13.749641
2025-10-26 0.547701 0.934988 1.580793 2.752643 4.864044 8.579697 15.771152
2025-11-02 0.485651 0.854932 1.490906 2.684808 4.915362 8.991115 17.204265
2025-11-09 0.422177 0.764275 1.371029 2.546037 4.815531 9.108418 18.087523
2025-11-16 0.382972 0.712492 1.313989 2.514859 4.911397 9.601887 19.781073
2025-11-23 0.344609 0.659065 1.250025 2.466949 4.977755 10.066101 21.534005
2025-11-30 0.328676 0.646671 1.262453 2.571644 5.367508 11.242133 25.013732
2025-12-07 0.307338 0.621004 1.245757 2.614648 5.634850 12.202275 28.186065
2025-12-14 0.281843 0.583807 1.201291 2.592979 5.758920 12.869251 30.798476
2025-12-21 0.252545 0.535235 1.127520 2.497751 5.704691 13.126823 32.471604
2025-12-28 0.244774 0.531729 1.148925 2.617735 6.162986 14.640747 37.549060
2026-01-04 0.237453 0.528286 1.169913 2.739373 6.642941 16.280202 43.258933
2026-01-11 0.226118 0.514444 1.165882 2.801039 6.984713 17.629842 48.446457
2026-01-18 0.214398 0.498344 1.154722 2.843718 7.284620 18.918478 53.710355
2026-01-25 0.196583 0.465854 1.101292 2.773596 7.280752 19.405325 56.756018
2026-02-01 0.176200 0.424961 1.023145 2.630056 7.060090 19.270257 57.923845